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-    "markdown": "---\ntitle: La Palma Earthquakes\nauthor:\n  - name: Steve Purves\n    orcid: 0000-0002-0760-5497\n    corresponding: true\n    email: [email protected]\n    roles:\n      - Investigation\n      - Project administration\n      - Software\n      - Visualization\n    affiliations:\n      - Curvenote\n  - name: Rowan Cockett\n    orcid: 0000-0002-7859-8394\n    corresponding: false\n    roles: []\n    affiliations:\n      - Curvenote\nkeywords:\n  - La Palma\n  - Earthquakes\nabstract: |\n  In September 2021, a significant jump in seismic activity on the island of La Palma (Canary Islands, Spain) signaled the start of a volcanic crisis that still continues at the time of writing. Earthquake data is continually collected and published by the Instituto Geográphico Nacional (IGN). ...\nplain-language-summary: |\n  Earthquake data for the island of La Palma from the September 2021 eruption is found ...\nkey-points:\n  - A web scraping script was developed to pull data from the Instituto Geogràphico Nacional into a machine-readable form for analysis\n  - Earthquake events on La Palma are consistent with the presence of both mantle and crustal reservoirs.\ndate: last-modified\nbibliography: references.bib\ncitation:\n  container-title: Earth and Space Science\nnumber-sections: true\njupyter: python3\n---\n\n\n\n\n\n\n## Introduction\n\n::: {.cell execution_count=1}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\nimport matplotlib.pyplot as plt\nimport numpy as np\neruptions = [1492, 1585, 1646, 1677, 1712, 1949, 1971, 2021]\n```\n:::\n\n\n::: {.cell execution_count=2}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\nplt.figure(figsize=(6, 1))\nplt.eventplot(eruptions, lineoffsets=0, linelengths=0.1, color='black')\nplt.gca().axes.get_yaxis().set_visible(False)\nplt.ylabel('')\nplt.show()\n```\n\n::: {.cell-output .cell-output-display}\n![Timeline of recent earthquakes on La Palma](index_files/figure-docx/fig-timeline-output-1.png){#fig-timeline fig-alt='An event plot of the years of the last 8 eruptions on La Palma.'}\n:::\n:::\n\n\n::: {.cell execution_count=3}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\navg_years_between_eruptions = np.mean(np.diff(eruptions[:-1]))\navg_years_between_eruptions\n```\n\n::: {.cell-output .cell-output-display .hidden execution_count=6}\n```\nnp.float64(79.83333333333333)\n```\n:::\n:::\n\n\n:::{#05605920 .cell .markdown}\nBased on data up to and including 1971, eruptions on La Palma happen every 79\\.8 years on average.\n\nStudies of the magma systems feeding the volcano, such as @marrero2019, have proposed that there are two main magma reservoirs feeding the Cumbre Vieja volcano; one in the mantle (30-40km depth) which charges and in turn feeds a shallower crustal reservoir (10-20km depth).\n\nEight eruptions have been recorded since the late 1400s (@fig-timeline).\n\nData and methods are discussed in @sec-data-methods.\n\nLet $x$ denote the number of eruptions in a year. Then, $x$ can be modeled by a Poisson distribution\n\n$$\np(x) = \\frac{e^{-\\lambda} \\lambda^{x}}{x !}\n$$ {#eq-poisson}\n\nwhere $\\lambda$ is the rate of eruptions per year. Using @eq-poisson, the probability of an eruption in the next $t$ years can be calculated.\n\n| Name                | Year |\n|---------------------|------|\n| Current             | 2021 |\n| Teneguía            | 1971 |\n| Nambroque           | 1949 |\n| El Charco           | 1712 |\n| Volcán San Antonio  | 1677 |\n| Volcán San Martin   | 1646 |\n| Tajuya near El Paso | 1585 |\n| Montaña Quemada     | 1492 |\n\n: Recent historic eruptions on La Palma {#tbl-history}\n\n@tbl-history summarises the eruptions recorded since the colonization of the islands by Europeans in the late 1400s.\n\n![Map of La Palma](images/la-palma-map.png){#fig-map}\n\nLa Palma is one of the west most islands in the Volcanic Archipelago of the Canary Islands (@fig-map).\n\n\n\n\n\n\n{{< embed notebooks/data-screening.qmd#fig-spatial-plot >}}\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n@fig-spatial-plot shows the location of recent Earthquakes on La Palma.\n\n## Data & Methods {#sec-data-methods}\n\n## Conclusion\n\n## References {.unnumbered}\n\n::: {#refs}\n:::\n:::\n\n",
+    "markdown": "---\ntitle: La Palma Earthquakes\nauthor:\n  - name: Steve Purves\n    orcid: 0000-0002-0760-5497\n    corresponding: true\n    email: [email protected]\n    roles:\n      - Investigation\n      - Project administration\n      - Software\n      - Visualization\n    affiliations:\n      - Curvenote\n  - name: Rowan Cockett\n    orcid: 0000-0002-7859-8394\n    corresponding: false\n    roles: []\n    affiliations:\n      - Curvenote\nkeywords:\n  - La Palma\n  - Earthquakes\nabstract: |\n  In September 2021, a significant jump in seismic activity on the island of La Palma (Canary Islands, Spain) signaled the start of a volcanic crisis that still continues at the time of writing. Earthquake data is continually collected and published by the Instituto Geográphico Nacional (IGN). ...\nplain-language-summary: |\n  Earthquake data for the island of La Palma from the September 2021 eruption is found ...\nkey-points:\n  - A web scraping script was developed to pull data from the Instituto Geogràphico Nacional into a machine-readable form for analysis\n  - Earthquake events on La Palma are consistent with the presence of both mantle and crustal reservoirs.\ndate: last-modified\nbibliography: references.bib\ncitation:\n  container-title: Earth and Space Science\nnumber-sections: true\njupyter: python3\n---\n\n\n\n\n\n\n## Introduction\n\n::: {.cell execution_count=1}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\nimport matplotlib.pyplot as plt\nimport numpy as np\neruptions = [1492, 1585, 1646, 1677, 1712, 1949, 1971, 2021]\n```\n:::\n\n\n::: {.cell execution_count=2}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\nplt.figure(figsize=(6, 1))\nplt.eventplot(eruptions, lineoffsets=0, linelengths=0.1, color='black')\nplt.gca().axes.get_yaxis().set_visible(False)\nplt.ylabel('')\nplt.show()\n```\n\n::: {.cell-output .cell-output-display}\n![Timeline of recent earthquakes on La Palma](index_files/figure-docx/fig-timeline-output-1.png){#fig-timeline fig-alt='An event plot of the years of the last 8 eruptions on La Palma.'}\n:::\n:::\n\n\n::: {.cell execution_count=3}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\navg_years_between_eruptions = np.mean(np.diff(eruptions[:-1]))\navg_years_between_eruptions\n```\n\n::: {.cell-output .cell-output-display .hidden execution_count=30}\n```\nnp.float64(79.83333333333333)\n```\n:::\n:::\n\n\n:::{#7b4f9623 .cell .markdown}\nBased on data up to and including 1971, eruptions on La Palma happen every 79\\.8 years on average.\n\nStudies of the magma systems feeding the volcano, such as @marrero2019, have proposed that there are two main magma reservoirs feeding the Cumbre Vieja volcano; one in the mantle (30-40km depth) which charges and in turn feeds a shallower crustal reservoir (10-20km depth).\n\nEight eruptions have been recorded since the late 1400s (@fig-timeline).\n\nData and methods are discussed in @sec-data-methods.\n\nLet $x$ denote the number of eruptions in a year. Then, $x$ can be modeled by a Poisson distribution\n\n$$\np(x) = \\frac{e^{-\\lambda} \\lambda^{x}}{x !}\n$$ {#eq-poisson}\n\nwhere $\\lambda$ is the rate of eruptions per year. Using @eq-poisson, the probability of an eruption in the next $t$ years can be calculated.\n\n| Name                | Year |\n|---------------------|------|\n| Current             | 2021 |\n| Teneguía            | 1971 |\n| Nambroque           | 1949 |\n| El Charco           | 1712 |\n| Volcán San Antonio  | 1677 |\n| Volcán San Martin   | 1646 |\n| Tajuya near El Paso | 1585 |\n| Montaña Quemada     | 1492 |\n\n: Recent historic eruptions on La Palma {#tbl-history}\n\n@tbl-history summarises the eruptions recorded since the colonization of the islands by Europeans in the late 1400s.\n\n![Map of La Palma](images/la-palma-map.png){#fig-map}\n\nLa Palma is one of the west most islands in the Volcanic Archipelago of the Canary Islands (@fig-map).\n\n\n\n\n\n\n{{< embed notebooks/data-screening.qmd#fig-spatial-plot >}}\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n@fig-spatial-plot shows the location of recent Earthquakes on La Palma.\n\n## Data & Methods {#sec-data-methods}\n\n## Conclusion\n\n## References {.unnumbered}\n\n::: {#refs}\n:::\n:::\n\n",
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-    "markdown": "---\ntitle: La Palma Earthquakes\nauthor:\n  - name: Steve Purves\n    orcid: 0000-0002-0760-5497\n    corresponding: true\n    email: [email protected]\n    roles:\n      - Investigation\n      - Project administration\n      - Software\n      - Visualization\n    affiliations:\n      - Curvenote\n  - name: Rowan Cockett\n    orcid: 0000-0002-7859-8394\n    corresponding: false\n    roles: []\n    affiliations:\n      - Curvenote\nkeywords:\n  - La Palma\n  - Earthquakes\nabstract: |\n  In September 2021, a significant jump in seismic activity on the island of La Palma (Canary Islands, Spain) signaled the start of a volcanic crisis that still continues at the time of writing. Earthquake data is continually collected and published by the Instituto Geográphico Nacional (IGN). ...\nplain-language-summary: |\n  Earthquake data for the island of La Palma from the September 2021 eruption is found ...\nkey-points:\n  - A web scraping script was developed to pull data from the Instituto Geogràphico Nacional into a machine-readable form for analysis\n  - Earthquake events on La Palma are consistent with the presence of both mantle and crustal reservoirs.\ndate: last-modified\nbibliography: references.bib\ncitation:\n  container-title: Earth and Space Science\nnumber-sections: true\njupyter: python3\n---\n\n\n## Introduction\n\n::: {#d23c9b68 .cell execution_count=1}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\nimport matplotlib.pyplot as plt\nimport numpy as np\neruptions = [1492, 1585, 1646, 1677, 1712, 1949, 1971, 2021]\n```\n:::\n\n\n::: {#cell-fig-timeline .cell execution_count=2}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\nplt.figure(figsize=(6, 1))\nplt.eventplot(eruptions, lineoffsets=0, linelengths=0.1, color='black')\nplt.gca().axes.get_yaxis().set_visible(False)\nplt.ylabel('')\nplt.show()\n```\n\n::: {.cell-output .cell-output-display}\n![Timeline of recent earthquakes on La Palma](index_files/figure-html/fig-timeline-output-1.png){#fig-timeline width=466 height=115 fig-alt='An event plot of the years of the last 8 eruptions on La Palma.'}\n:::\n:::\n\n\n::: {#a3105412 .cell execution_count=3}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\navg_years_between_eruptions = np.mean(np.diff(eruptions[:-1]))\navg_years_between_eruptions\n```\n\n::: {.cell-output .cell-output-display .hidden execution_count=3}\n```\nnp.float64(79.83333333333333)\n```\n:::\n:::\n\n\n:::{#2187ed8a .cell .markdown}\nBased on data up to and including 1971, eruptions on La Palma happen every 79\\.8 years on average.\n\nStudies of the magma systems feeding the volcano, such as @marrero2019, have proposed that there are two main magma reservoirs feeding the Cumbre Vieja volcano; one in the mantle (30-40km depth) which charges and in turn feeds a shallower crustal reservoir (10-20km depth).\n\nEight eruptions have been recorded since the late 1400s (@fig-timeline).\n\nData and methods are discussed in @sec-data-methods.\n\nLet $x$ denote the number of eruptions in a year. Then, $x$ can be modeled by a Poisson distribution\n\n$$\np(x) = \\frac{e^{-\\lambda} \\lambda^{x}}{x !}\n$$ {#eq-poisson}\n\nwhere $\\lambda$ is the rate of eruptions per year. Using @eq-poisson, the probability of an eruption in the next $t$ years can be calculated.\n\n| Name                | Year |\n|---------------------|------|\n| Current             | 2021 |\n| Teneguía            | 1971 |\n| Nambroque           | 1949 |\n| El Charco           | 1712 |\n| Volcán San Antonio  | 1677 |\n| Volcán San Martin   | 1646 |\n| Tajuya near El Paso | 1585 |\n| Montaña Quemada     | 1492 |\n\n: Recent historic eruptions on La Palma {#tbl-history}\n\n@tbl-history summarises the eruptions recorded since the colonization of the islands by Europeans in the late 1400s.\n\n![Map of La Palma](images/la-palma-map.png){#fig-map}\n\nLa Palma is one of the west most islands in the Volcanic Archipelago of the Canary Islands (@fig-map).\n\n\n{{< embed notebooks/data-screening.qmd#fig-spatial-plot >}}\n\n\n@fig-spatial-plot shows the location of recent Earthquakes on La Palma.\n\n## Data & Methods {#sec-data-methods}\n\n## Conclusion\n\n## References {.unnumbered}\n\n::: {#refs}\n:::\n:::\n\n",
+    "markdown": "---\ntitle: La Palma Earthquakes\nauthor:\n  - name: Steve Purves\n    orcid: 0000-0002-0760-5497\n    corresponding: true\n    email: [email protected]\n    roles:\n      - Investigation\n      - Project administration\n      - Software\n      - Visualization\n    affiliations:\n      - Curvenote\n  - name: Rowan Cockett\n    orcid: 0000-0002-7859-8394\n    corresponding: false\n    roles: []\n    affiliations:\n      - Curvenote\nkeywords:\n  - La Palma\n  - Earthquakes\nabstract: |\n  In September 2021, a significant jump in seismic activity on the island of La Palma (Canary Islands, Spain) signaled the start of a volcanic crisis that still continues at the time of writing. Earthquake data is continually collected and published by the Instituto Geográphico Nacional (IGN). ...\nplain-language-summary: |\n  Earthquake data for the island of La Palma from the September 2021 eruption is found ...\nkey-points:\n  - A web scraping script was developed to pull data from the Instituto Geogràphico Nacional into a machine-readable form for analysis\n  - Earthquake events on La Palma are consistent with the presence of both mantle and crustal reservoirs.\ndate: last-modified\nbibliography: references.bib\ncitation:\n  container-title: Earth and Space Science\nnumber-sections: true\njupyter: python3\n---\n\n\n## Introduction\n\n::: {#fdcdfe00 .cell execution_count=1}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\nimport matplotlib.pyplot as plt\nimport numpy as np\neruptions = [1492, 1585, 1646, 1677, 1712, 1949, 1971, 2021]\n```\n:::\n\n\n::: {#cell-fig-timeline .cell execution_count=2}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\nplt.figure(figsize=(6, 1))\nplt.eventplot(eruptions, lineoffsets=0, linelengths=0.1, color='black')\nplt.gca().axes.get_yaxis().set_visible(False)\nplt.ylabel('')\nplt.show()\n```\n\n::: {.cell-output .cell-output-display}\n![Timeline of recent earthquakes on La Palma](index_files/figure-html/fig-timeline-output-1.png){#fig-timeline width=466 height=115 fig-alt='An event plot of the years of the last 8 eruptions on La Palma.'}\n:::\n:::\n\n\n::: {#5c8ef837 .cell execution_count=3}\n``` {.python .cell-code .hidden}\navg_years_between_eruptions = np.mean(np.diff(eruptions[:-1]))\navg_years_between_eruptions\n```\n\n::: {.cell-output .cell-output-display .hidden execution_count=27}\n```\nnp.float64(79.83333333333333)\n```\n:::\n:::\n\n\n:::{#c53b4fba .cell .markdown}\nBased on data up to and including 1971, eruptions on La Palma happen every 79\\.8 years on average.\n\nStudies of the magma systems feeding the volcano, such as @marrero2019, have proposed that there are two main magma reservoirs feeding the Cumbre Vieja volcano; one in the mantle (30-40km depth) which charges and in turn feeds a shallower crustal reservoir (10-20km depth).\n\nEight eruptions have been recorded since the late 1400s (@fig-timeline).\n\nData and methods are discussed in @sec-data-methods.\n\nLet $x$ denote the number of eruptions in a year. Then, $x$ can be modeled by a Poisson distribution\n\n$$\np(x) = \\frac{e^{-\\lambda} \\lambda^{x}}{x !}\n$$ {#eq-poisson}\n\nwhere $\\lambda$ is the rate of eruptions per year. Using @eq-poisson, the probability of an eruption in the next $t$ years can be calculated.\n\n| Name                | Year |\n|---------------------|------|\n| Current             | 2021 |\n| Teneguía            | 1971 |\n| Nambroque           | 1949 |\n| El Charco           | 1712 |\n| Volcán San Antonio  | 1677 |\n| Volcán San Martin   | 1646 |\n| Tajuya near El Paso | 1585 |\n| Montaña Quemada     | 1492 |\n\n: Recent historic eruptions on La Palma {#tbl-history}\n\n@tbl-history summarises the eruptions recorded since the colonization of the islands by Europeans in the late 1400s.\n\n![Map of La Palma](images/la-palma-map.png){#fig-map}\n\nLa Palma is one of the west most islands in the Volcanic Archipelago of the Canary Islands (@fig-map).\n\n\n{{< embed notebooks/data-screening.qmd#fig-spatial-plot >}}\n\n\n@fig-spatial-plot shows the location of recent Earthquakes on La Palma.\n\n## Data & Methods {#sec-data-methods}\n\n## Conclusion\n\n## References {.unnumbered}\n\n::: {#refs}\n:::\n:::\n\n",
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