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reneniehus authored Dec 20, 2023
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Expand Up @@ -6,6 +6,6 @@ model_contributors:
- name: Rene Niehus
affiliation: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control
email: [email protected]
team_model_designation: primary
team_model_designation: secondary
methods: "A Bayesian piece-wise square-root-linear model fit."
methods_long: "Model consists of 1) scaling of the data (convert to square-root-scale), 2) assigning data points into groups such that neighbouring data points belong to the same group, and simultaneously in Stan 3) fitting piece-wise intercept-slope models in each group, 4) regularizing the difference between neighbouring slopes to be close to 0, 5) generating a future slope based on the last slope plus fitted noise."

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