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Expand Up @@ -37,50 +37,6 @@ to submit](../../wiki/Preparing-to-submit) - Create a [team
directory](../../wiki/Creating-a-team-directory) - Add your
[metadata](../../wiki/Metadata) and a [license](../../wiki/Licensing)

#### Forecasting

We require some forecast parameters so that we can compare and ensemble
forecasts. All forecasts should use the following structure:

| Parameter | Description |
| --------- | ------------------------------------- |
| Target | Cases, hospitalisations and/or deaths |
| Count | Incident |
| Geography | EU/EFTA/UK nations (any/all) |
| Frequency | Weekly |
| Horizon | 1 to 4 weeks |

There is no obligation to submit forecasts for all suggested targets or
horizons, and it is up to you to decide which you are comfortable
forecasting with your model.

We have written more about forecast targets, horizons, and locations in
the [guide](../../wiki/Targets-and-horizons).

###### Dates

We use Epidemiological Weeks (EW) defined by the [US
CDC](https://wwwn.cdc.gov/nndss/document/MMWR_Week_overview.pdf). Each
week starts on Sunday and ends on Saturday. We provide more details
[here](../../wiki/Targets-and-horizons#date-format), and
[templates](../../template) to convert dates to EW weeks (and vice
versa).

###### Truth data

We base evaluations on country level data from [Johns Hopkins
University](https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/tree/master/csse_covid_19_data/csse_covid_19_time_series).

#### Submitting

Forecasts should be submitted on Monday by opening a pull request in
this repository. So that we can evaluate and ensemble forecasts, we ask
for a specific file structure and naming format: our wiki contains a
detailed [guide](../../wiki/Forecast-format). If you have technical
difficulties with submission, try
[troubleshooting](../..wiki/Troubleshooting-pull-requests) or get in
touch by raising an [issue](../issues).

###### Evaluating and ensembling

After teams have submitted their forecasts, we create an ensemble
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