COVID19Analysis

COVID 19 Time series analysis and prediction for Rapid Early Warning before next wave

Project Flow

1. Get data - CSV file - Johns Hopkins University GitHub
2. Convert it into dataframe
3. Calculate the number of daily cases column
4. Apply stationarity tests a. Visual Graph-Rolling Mean, Standard Deviation b. ADF Test
5. Check for seasonality
6. Apply transformation to change series into a stationary series
7. Divide data into train and test
8. Fit model on train data
9. Make predictions on test data
10. Graph the predicted values along with the test values
11. Calculate Accuracy Parameters a. Mean Absolute Error b. Mean Square Error c. Root Mean Square Error
12. Plot other graphs a. Error Residual Graphs b. Value Density Plot