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overdoses2020

Analysis of contributors to 2020 opioid overdoses

Model, data, and output files for submitted manuscript:

Stringfellow et al., "Enumerating contributions of fentanyls and other factors to the unprecedented 2020 rise in opioid overdose deaths: model-based analysis"


Results & analysis summary.xlsx contains aggregated results from model outputs, as well as basic replication instructions.

Main output figures used in the manuscript, as well as code for producing them.

Vensim data format (VDF/VDFX) output files from model analysis, as well as MCMC subsample used to quantify uncertainty.

The main Vensim model file (.mdl) and other supplementary Vensim files used for analysis (e.g. changes and savelist files).

Data, model, and results files used for sensitivity analysis correcting for potential mischaracterization or under-reporting of opioid overdoses. Includes corrected data files, model files for recalibration, and analysis results.


This analysis utilizes a modified version of SOURCE, the FDA opioid systems model, as published in Lim et al. 2022 and Stringfellow et al. 2022.