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<!DOCTYPE html>
<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<head>
<meta charset="utf-8" />
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8" />
<meta name="generator" content="pandoc" />
<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
<meta name="author" content="Dr. Evangeline (Gina) Reynolds1, James Smith1,2, and Jane Smith3" />
<meta name="date" content="2018-11-30" />
<title>When is the State of the Union Delivered?</title>
<link href="11_poster_professional_files/paged-0.1.4/css/poster-jacobs.css" rel="stylesheet" />
</head>
<body>
<div class="poster-title">
<h1 class="title">When is the State of the Union Delivered?</h1>
<h2 class="author">Dr. Evangeline (Gina) Reynolds<sup>1</sup>, James Smith<sup>1,2</sup>, and Jane Smith<sup>3</sup></h2>
<h2 class="institute">1. Korbel School of International Studies at University of Denver; 2. Department and University Two; 3. Department and University Three</h2>
</div>
<!-- In your final paper you won't often want to echo code. Or see warning or messages on coding at this point. So let's set the knitter setting to echo, warning and message to F globally -->
<div id="motivation" class="section level1 block">
<h1>Motivation</h1>
<p>The State of the Union is an important summary of …</p>
<p>It’s delivery is most often in January, but with the 2019 government shutdown …</p>
<p>Kenneth Bennoit raised the question about timing:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>Far from unprecedented for a #stateoftheunion #SOTU address to be held in Feb or to be delivered written.</p>
</blockquote>
</div>
<div id="related-literature" class="section level1">
<h1>Related Literature</h1>
<p>Lorem ipsum dolor <strong>sit amet</strong>, consectetur adipiscing elit. Donec ut volutpat elit. Sed laoreet accumsan mattis. Integer sapien tellus, auctor ac blandit eget, sollicitudin vitae lorem. Praesent dictum tempor pulvinar. Suspendisse potenti. Sed tincidunt varius ipsum, et porta nulla suscipit et. Etiam congue bibendum felis, ac dictum augue cursus a. <strong>Donec</strong> magna eros, iaculis sit amet placerat quis, laoreet id est.</p>
<table>
<caption>This is the caption for the table about data visualization categories from <em>“The Fundamentals of Data Visualization.”</em></caption>
<thead>
<tr class="header">
<th>Category</th>
<th>Description</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Bad</td>
<td>Misrepresents data or confuse</td>
</tr>
<tr class="even">
<td>Ugly</td>
<td>Not pleasing</td>
</tr>
<tr class="odd">
<td>Good</td>
<td>Not bad and not ugly</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="figure"><span id="fig:gm-plot"></span>
<img src="11_poster_professional_files/figure-html/gm-plot-1.svg" alt="Figure Caption." width="100%" />
<p class="caption">
Figure 1: Figure Caption.
</p>
</div>
<p>Test citations <span class="citation">R Core Team (2018)</span> <span class="citation">Xie and Lesur (2018)</span>. See Figure <a href="#fig:gm-plot">1</a>.</p>
</div>
<div id="theory" class="section level1">
<h1>Theory</h1>
<p>The following materials were required to complete the research:</p>
<ul>
<li>Curabitur pellentesque dignissim</li>
<li>Eu facilisis est tempus quis</li>
<li>Duis porta consequat lorem</li>
<li>Eu facilisis est tempus quis</li>
</ul>
<p>The materials were prepared according to the steps outlined below:</p>
<ol style="list-style-type: decimal">
<li>Curabitur pellentesque dignissim</li>
<li>Eu facilisis est tempus quis</li>
<li>Duis porta consequat lorem</li>
<li>Curabitur pellentesque dignissim</li>
</ol>
</div>
<div id="hypotheses" class="section level1">
<h1>Hypotheses</h1>
<p>Lorem ipsum dolor <strong>sit amet</strong>, consectetur adipiscing elit. Sed laoreet accumsan mattis. Integer sapien tellus, auctor ac blandit eget, sollicitudin vitae lorem. Praesent dictum tempor pulvinar. Suspendisse potenti. Sed tincidunt varius ipsum, et porta nulla suscipit et. Etiam congue bibendum felis, ac dictum augue cursus a. <strong>Donec</strong> magna eros, iaculis sit amet placerat quis, laoreet id est. In ut orci purus, interdum ornare nibh. Pellentesque pulvinar, nibh ac malesuada accumsan, urna nunc convallis tortor, ac vehicula nulla tellus eget nulla. Nullam lectus tortor, <em>consequat tempor hendrerit</em> quis, vestibulum in diam. Maecenas sed diam augue.</p>
</div>
<div id="important-result" class="section level1 block">
<h1>Important Result</h1>
<p>It is rare for the State of the Union, when it does not fall in an election year, to be delivered as late as February. However the addresses overall are getting later and later, and the 2019 address timing does not represent an outlying case.</p>
</div>
<div id="data" class="section level1">
<h1>Data</h1>
<div class="figure-example">
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center"><span id="fig:year"></span>
<img src="figures/sotu_timing_delivery.png" alt="Timing of state of the union by year. SOTUs that follow election years are colored with blue." width="1050" />
<p class="caption">
Figure 2: Timing of state of the union by year. SOTUs that follow election years are colored with blue.
</p>
</div>
<p>Figure 2: Figure caption.</p>
</div>
<p>Nunc tempus venenatis facilisis. Curabitur suscipit consequat eros non porttitor. Sed a massa dolor, id ornare enim:</p>
</div>
<div id="model" class="section level1">
<h1>Model</h1>
<table style="text-align:center">
<caption>
<strong>Predicting State of the Union Timing</strong>
</caption>
<tr>
<td colspan="5" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black">
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td colspan="4">
Days elapsed since January 1st
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td>
(1)
</td>
<td>
(2)
</td>
<td>
(3)
</td>
<td>
(4)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="5" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black">
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
year
</td>
<td>
0.401<sup>***</sup>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
0.408<sup>***</sup>
</td>
<td>
0.320<sup>***</sup>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td>
(0.038)
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
(0.035)
</td>
<td>
(0.036)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
post election
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
7.700<sup>**</sup>
</td>
<td>
8.654<sup>***</sup>
</td>
<td>
-653.628<sup>***</sup>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
(2.991)
</td>
<td>
(1.894)
</td>
<td>
(139.861)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
year*post election
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
0.335<sup>***</sup>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
(0.071)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
Constant
</td>
<td>
-773.950<sup>***</sup>
</td>
<td>
17.300<sup>***</sup>
</td>
<td>
-789.534<sup>***</sup>
</td>
<td>
-615.478<sup>***</sup>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td>
(75.412)
</td>
<td>
(1.511)
</td>
<td>
(68.468)
</td>
<td>
(71.731)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
<td>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="5" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black">
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
<em>Notes:</em>
</td>
<td colspan="4" style="text-align:right">
<sup>***</sup>Significant at the 1 percent level.
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td colspan="4" style="text-align:right">
<sup>**</sup>Significant at the 5 percent level.
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="text-align:left">
</td>
<td colspan="4" style="text-align:right">
<sup>*</sup>Significant at the 10 percent level.
</td>
</tr>
</table>
<!-- Nam quis odio enim, in molestie libero. Vivamus cursus mi at nulla elementum sollicitudin. Nam quis odio enim, in molestie libero. Vivamus cursus mi at nulla elementum sollicitudin. -->
<!-- \begin{equation} -->
<!-- E = mc^{2} -->
<!-- (\#eq:Einstein) -->
<!-- \end{equation} -->
<!-- Nam quis odio enim, in molestie libero. Vivamus cursus mi at nulla elementum sollicitudin. Nam quis odio enim, in molestie libero. Vivamus cursus mi at nulla elementum sollicitudin. -->
<!-- \begin{equation} -->
<!-- \cos^3 \theta =\frac{1}{4}\cos\theta+\frac{3}{4}\cos 3\theta -->
<!-- (\#eq:refname) -->
<!-- \end{equation} -->
<!-- Nam quis odio enim, in molestie libero. Vivamus cursus mi at nulla elementum sollicitudin. Nam quis odio enim, in molestie libero. Vivamus cursus mi at nulla elementum sollicitudin. -->
<!-- \begin{equation} -->
<!-- \kappa =\frac{\xi}{E_{\mathrm{max}}} -->
<!-- \end{equation} -->
<!-- Nam quis odio enim, in molestie libero. Vivamus cursus mi at nulla elementum sollicitudin. Nam quis odio enim, in molestie libero. Vivamus cursus mi at nulla elementum sollicitudin. -->
</div>
<div id="conclusions" class="section level1">
<h1>Conclusions</h1>
<div class="figure-example">
<div class="figure" style="text-align: center"><span id="fig:model"></span>
<img src="figures/sotu_timing_model.png" alt="Timing of state of the union by year" width="806" />
<p class="caption">
Figure 3: Timing of state of the union by year
</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div id="key-references" class="section level1">
<h1>Key References</h1>
<div id="refs">
<div id="ref-R-base">
<p>R Core Team. 2018. “R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing.” <a href="https://www.r-project.org">https://www.r-project.org</a>.</p>
</div>
<div id="ref-R-pagedown">
<p>Xie, Yihui, and Romain Lesur. 2018. “Paginate the HTML Output of R Markdown with CSS for Print.” <a href="https://github.com/rstudio/pagedown">https://github.com/rstudio/pagedown</a>.</p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div id="data-sources" class="section level1" data-color="red">
<h1>Data sources</h1>
<p>Nam mollis tristique neque eu luctus. Suspendisse rutrum congue nisi sed convallis. Aenean id neque dolor. Pellentesque habitant morbi tristique senectus et netus et malesuada fames ac turpis egestas.</p>
<p>Nam mollis tristique neque eu luctus. Suspendisse rutrum congue nisi sed convallis. Aenean id neque dolor. Pellentesque habitant morbi tristique senectus et netus et malesuada fames ac turpis egestas.</p>
</div>
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