diff --git a/model-metadata/ECDC-norrsken_blue.yml b/model-metadata/ECDC-norrsken_blue.yml new file mode 100644 index 0000000000..f75ac2021b --- /dev/null +++ b/model-metadata/ECDC-norrsken_blue.yml @@ -0,0 +1,11 @@ +team_name: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control +model_name: Norrsken Piecewise Linear Bayesian Model +team_abbr: ECDC +model_abbr: norrsken_blue +model_contributors: + - name: Rene Niehus + affiliation: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control + email: rene.niehus@ecdc.europa.eu +team_model_designation: primary +methods: "A Bayesian piece-wise square-root-linear model fit." +methods_long: "Model consists of 1) scaling of the data (convert to square-root-scale), 2) assigning data points into groups such that neighbouring data points belong to the same group, and simultaneously in Stan 3) fitting piece-wise intercept-slope models in each group, 4) regularizing the difference between neighbouring slopes to be close to 0, 5) generating a future slope based on the last slope plus fitted noise." diff --git a/model-metadata/ECDC-norrsken_green.yml b/model-metadata/ECDC-norrsken_green.yml new file mode 100644 index 0000000000..5e4cdde645 --- /dev/null +++ b/model-metadata/ECDC-norrsken_green.yml @@ -0,0 +1,11 @@ +team_name: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control +model_name: Norrsken Piecewise Linear Bayesian Model +team_abbr: ECDC +model_abbr: norrsken_green +model_contributors: + - name: Rene Niehus + affiliation: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control + email: rene.niehus@ecdc.europa.eu +team_model_designation: primary +methods: "A Bayesian piece-wise log-linear model fit." +methods_long: "Model consists of 1) scaling of the data (convert to log-scale), 2) assigning data points into groups such that neighbouring data points belong to the same group, and simultaneously in Stan 3) fitting piece-wise intercept-slope models in each group, 4) regularizing the difference between neighbouring slopes to be close to 0, 5) generating a future slope based on the last slope plus fitted noise."