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Inclusion of Hub forecasts #1

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seabbs opened this issue Jul 14, 2021 · 2 comments
Open

Inclusion of Hub forecasts #1

seabbs opened this issue Jul 14, 2021 · 2 comments
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@seabbs
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seabbs commented Jul 14, 2021

Do we need to/should we include hub forecasts as a comparison for each case study?

@jbracher
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I'd say yes as part of the motivation is that many real-time forecasts ignore the crucial issue of multiple variants circulating. However, unsure what exactly to display. Definitely the ensemble, but could also shown bundle of point forecasts to show that in some cases very few to no models predicted an upward turn (see 26 June and 3 July in Germany).

@seabbs seabbs transferred this issue from epiforecasts/forecast.vocs Sep 8, 2021
@seabbs
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seabbs commented Sep 8, 2021

I like the idea of doing this in principle but think it should be a secondary analysis. Once we have summarised the output for Germany (and the other case study targets) would you be happy to lead on this?

@seabbs seabbs added the analysis label Sep 8, 2021
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