diff --git a/vignettes/estimate_infections.Rmd b/vignettes/estimate_infections.Rmd index 21e142162..521837013 100644 --- a/vignettes/estimate_infections.Rmd +++ b/vignettes/estimate_infections.Rmd @@ -202,7 +202,7 @@ This model uses the following priors for the observation model, The model supports counts that are right-truncated, i.e. reported with a delay leading to recent counts being subject to future upwards revision. Denoting the final truncated counts with $D^{\ast}_{t}$ they are obtained form the final modelled cases $D_{t}$ by applying a given discrete truncation distribution $\zeta(\tau | \mu_{\zeta}, \sigma_{\zeta})$ with cumulative mass function $Z(\tau | \mu_{\zeta})$: \begin{equation} - D^ast_t = \Z (T - t | \mu_{Z}, \sigma_{Z}) D_{t} + D^ast_t = Z(T - t | \mu_{Z}, \sigma_{Z}) D_{t} \end{equation} If truncation is applied, the modelled cases $D_{t}$ are replaced by the truncated counts before confronting them with observations $C_{t}$ as described above.